Election Polls on Social Media: Prevalence, Biases, and Voter Fraud Beliefs
Published in International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media (ICWSM), 2024
We leverage demographic inference and statistical analysis, finding that Twitter polls are disproportionately authored by older males, exhibit a large bias towards candidate Donald Trump relative to representative mainstream polls, and contain inconsistencies between public vote counts and those privately visible to poll authors.
Recommended citation: (DOI and citation coming soon) https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.11146